What is happening with KiwiSaver?

What is happening with KiwiSaver?

There has been a lot of movement in the market recently which may be worrying KiwiSaver scheme members around the country.

While KiwiSaver is a long-term retirement investment, you will have seen that annual performance is down. So, what do you need to know about what is happening with KiwiSaver?


What do you need to know?

KiwiSaver is an investment. This means that you are an investor and through this retirement scheme, your money is invested into the market. We at Christian KiwiSaver Scheme carefully manage your money in the effort to grow your investment and to minimise losses.

Depending on your situation, you may also be receiving additional contributions from your employer and/or the Government which you generally would not be receiving outside of a KiwiSaver scheme.

Previously, KiwiSaver schemes have had periods of strong positive returns. In recent years, particularly since the COVID pandemic, the market has not performed so well. The thinking in the market is that it is normal to have this sort of rebalancing period, particularly with these types of unprecedented events.

Most KiwiSaver schemes are in the same boat. Schemes are carefully watching the market and are all subject to its performance. KiwiSaver schemes are also tightly regulated by the Financial Markets Authority who enforce rules for the protection of consumers.


What can you do?

  • It is important to remember that KiwiSaver is a long-term investment. While KiwiSaver has experienced a turbulent time in this past year, you can see that our 5 years (p.a.) and 10 years (p.a.) investment returns are positive.
  • Last quarter we published an article to help you navigate through this potentially confusing time. Our message is very much the same, i.e. that you look at your investment goals and remember why you chose your particular fund rather than making any sudden decisions. You can view that article here.

While the future is always uncertain, the recent performance of the market can be seen as part of the investment experience where we will experience general ups and downs.

Anglican Financial Care (AFC), the fund manager of Christian KiwiSaver Scheme, is an organisation with long-standing experience. Established in 1972, AFC is celebrating 50 years of serving its members this year. We look forward to continuing to serve your KiwiSaver needs.

“I have told you these things, so that in me you may have peace. In this world you will have trouble. But take heart! I have overcome the world.”

John 16:33 (NIV)

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Why are conservative funds losing money?

Some KiwiSaver investors who have their money in a conservative fund have been shocked by recent performance. Typically, these types of funds have been seen as “less risky”, but given their recent losses you too most likely want to know why these types of funds are losing money.

The performance of conservative funds are strongly linked with interest rates. If interest rates go up, as they have been recently, then the investments of the fund will generally go down in value (which leads to negative returns). However, if interest rates go down then the investments of the fund may go up in value (which leads to positive returns).


Why are interest rates going up?

Interest rates are increasing because our official cash rate (and many around the world) has been going up. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (and other major central banks around the world) uses the official cash rate as a tool to set interest rates that try to fight inflation.

Their hope is that interest rate increases will lead to a slowdown in demand and therefore lower inflation. One example of this is that people may decide to spend less on products because of the higher interest rates. The idea is that there is a flow-on effect so that companies will begin to charge less for their products as they see people beginning to spend less.

The amount that we spend/purchase and the amount companies charge for their products are part of what affects whether interest rates go up or down. For instance, if demand does slow down enough then this might mean interest rates may not need to rise anymore.

Interest rates and inflation are not just influenced by what happens locally, but are also influenced by what happens around the world. In the recent past, we have had very low interest rates. Sudden big events, such as the war in Ukraine and COVID, may be part of the surprising inflation we are currently experiencing – and the big increase in interest rates we are experiencing now.

We at Christian KiwiSaver Scheme have certainly been doing our best to minimise these negative returns, however when the market has been performing this way it is sometimes difficult to do so.

Our investment style, with a focus on capital preservation and diversification, aims to reduce the losses that can prevail in these more uncertain periods.

Important requirements for our members

Important requirements for our members

We will be requesting some simple but important information from some of you in the next few weeks to help us fulfil our obligations under the Anti-Money Laundering legislation. This information will help us update your records to fulfil compliance requirements.

Meeting compliance obligations is of utmost importance for us here at Christian KiwiSaver Scheme so that your trust in us is unquestionable.

In the next few weeks, our Chief Executive will be sending some of our members emails (or, where we do not hold your email address, letters) asking you to provide us information to help us fulfil compliance requirements.

When you receive this communication, please complete the instructions. The whole process should be relatively easy and take less than a minute, but if you have any questions, including whether or not the email or letter you receive is legitimate, then please do not hesitate to contact us. If you do not hear from us, you do not need to do anything – your information is up-to-date.

Stay strong, do not panic (Psalm 31:24)

Stay strong, do not panic (Psalm 31:24)

It is potentially a confusing time right now for anyone with a KiwiSaver who is aware of how markets are currently performing. It may cause us to scramble and to think if there any quick decisions or actions we can make as a response. This is a message of assurance to not panic and that we are here for you.

What is important to remember is to stick with your plan and not to make sudden decisions like changing your fund as a knee-jerk reaction. Look at your own situation and determine whether you are in the right fund for your circumstances. If you need more information about our different fund types, click here.

Samantha Barrass, the Chief Executive of Financial Markets Authority New Zealand (FMA), recently spoke with NBR and reminded investors that markets do recover.

“If you’re investing for the medium to long term, it’s best you hold your nerve and not leap into more conservative funds because you will just crystallise your loss at the point… Hold the course, don’t panic”. (McNicol, 2022)

Recently, in June 2022, the FMA also published research around New Zealanders’ attitudes towards financial markets and investing. Here are some highlights which may help inform your thinking during this time:

  • “Eight in ten New Zealanders hold at least one investment product (82%). KiwiSaver is still the most commonly held among New Zealanders (64%).”
  • “Nearly three-quarters of investors (74%) feel slightly, fairly or very confident that New Zealand financial markets and financial service providers offer good long-term opportunities for investors.”

If you are interested in more information about this research from the FMA, click here. If you are seeking financial advice, we recommend you speak with a financial advisor.

Anglican Financial Care (AFC), the fund manager of Christian KiwiSaver Scheme, is an organisation with a long-standing experience. Established in 1972, AFC is celebrating 50 years of serving its members this year. We look forward to continuing to serve your KiwiSaver needs.

“Who is like you, Lord God Almighty? You, Lord, are mighty, and your faithfulness surrounds you. You rule over the surging sea; when its waves mount up, you still them.”

Psalm 89:8-9 (NIV)

 

Notes

McNicol, H. (2022, June 16). Biblical turbulence: Kiwis should hold nerve as confidence slips. NBR. Retrieved from https://www.nbr.co.nz

Investing ethically since 1972

Investing ethically since 1972

A KiwiSaver Scheme that invests ethically is important to many Kiwis. Christian KiwiSaver Scheme (CKS) has always had an ethical approach to its investments and is always seeking to participate in the good God is doing in the world.

In a recent survey, Consumer found that ethical investing is important to a large proportion of their respondents, “our survey found 45% said they wanted a fund that provides a good return and invests responsibly – both were equally important.” (Birdsey, 2022)

CKS has followed a robust ethical investing approach since its establishment in 2007 (shortly after the Government introduced KiwiSaver). Our ethical investing approach is at the heart of our investment activity, but did you know that our approach has existed since long before KiwiSaver was even created in Aotearoa?

Anglican Financial Care (AFC), the fund manager of CKS, has invested ethically since its inception in 1972 – that’s 50 years of investing with an ethical approach. In a sense, AFC boldly pioneered ethical investing in Aotearoa New Zealand long before other KiwiSaver Schemes. Other fund managers only started ethical investing in recent years.

As an overview, here are the sectors which our Ethical Investment Policy addresses:

  • Alcohol
  • Animal Welfare
  • Armaments and defence
  • Fossil fuels
  • Gambling
  • Pornography
  • Tobacco

To read more about our thoughtful approach to ethical investing please read our Ethical Investment Policy here.

We believe God is active in restoring the world and it is important for us to express this by way of investing ethically, while being responsible with your finances.

And whatever you do, whether in word or deed, do it all in the name of the Lord Jesus, giving thanks to God the Father through him.”

Colossians 3:17 (NIV)

 

Notes

Birdsey, N. (2022, June 8). KiwiSaver satisfaction survey 2022. Consumer. Retrieved from https://www.consumer.org.nz

Investment Returns at 31 March 2022

Investment Returns at 31 March 2022

Investment returns (before tax and fees) for the quarter ending 31 March 2022 are:

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The last quarter was all about the increase in uncertainty. Markets dislike when there is an increase in doubt. Uncertainties increased with the dreadful Russian invasion of Ukraine and with regard to the future level of interest rates. The outbreak of conflict only further inflamed inflation fears. Many central banks around the world (Japan excepted) raised their official overnight cash rate and inferred that further increases were likely. Talk of the unwind of policies that were implemented to counter the expected COVID impacts also spooked some market participants. All of this increased uncertainty led to falls in both share and bond prices (bond prices fell as interest rates rose) over the quarter.

What happens now very much depends on expectations with regards to the Ukraine situation and inflation. Central banks are expected to keep raising rates in an effort to control inflation. Inflation can have a nasty effect on the economy. The question then may become whether central banks have raised interest rates too far or too fast. Will this (raising of interest rates) lead to a slowdown in the economy, and by how much?

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded its global growth forecast to 3.6% (from 4.4%) in response to the Ukraine situation and the lockdowns in China. The 2023 projection was lowered to 3.6%, from 3.8%. The IMF has also bumped up its inflation forecast for advanced economies to 5.7% and for emerging and developing countries to 8.7%.

As readers will be aware we have been cautious in recent times as we believed both share and bond prices may have been too high given the uncertainties that existed. However, we have and still remain cautiously invested and diversified. In this environment we held and continue to hold a higher than normal cash level. This cash will, and has been used as and when we see opportunities.